If you spend your hard-earned money to bet on football matches for fun, then stop reading this article.
I wrote this article for people who
consider football betting as business or a form investment that must yield
returns or profit all the time.
You must treat football betting as a form of business or investment and find strategies or ways that will always help you win so that your hard earned-money will not go waste.
WHY DO YOU ALWAYS LOSE YOUR FOOTBALL
BETS?
The truth is that the favourite team does not always win, so choosing the “Win Market” or even “Win or Draw Market” will most likely make you lose your bet.
Just recently, on Saturday 4th
December 2021, West Ham beats Chelsea 3:2, causing great upset
and disappointment to punters or bettors.
On that day, every punter or
bettor who betted on Chelsea to win against West Ham lost their bet,
hence losing money to bookies.
On the same Saturday, 4th December 2021, Atlético Madrid was beaten by Mallorca 2:1.
Before Atletico Madrid lost to
Mallorca, they played six (6) La-Liga Matches without LOSS and even beat the
following big teams: Barcelona 2 to Nill, Real Betis 3 to Nill and made Draw
with Valencia and Real Sociedad.
Atletico Madrid was the favourite but surprisingly, they were beaten by Mallorca 2: 1 at home.
On Sunday, 23rd January 2022, this team "Elche" surprised the world by drawing with Real Madrid at home. The result of the match was "Draw" so any person or punter who betted on Real Madrid to win the Match lost his or her money.
Why is it
that the “Win Market” or the “Win or Draw” market do not mostly work?
Red Card: Most of the times, Red Cards influence the result of the game. If you bet on a team to win a match and that team get Red Card, you may lose your bet. A typical example is the match between Chelsea and West Bromwich which took place on Saturday, 3rd April 2021.
Who ever thought that Chelsea would
lose to West Bromwich after beating Atletico Madrid Home and Away in the
Champions League, beating Everton at Stamford Bridge, drawing with Liverpool at
Anfield and drawing with Manchester United and Leeds United under their new
manager, Thomas Tuchel.
The Red Card given to Chelsea’s
defender, Thiago Silva changed the game, so West Brom beat Chelsea 5:2 on that
day.
Line-Up: Football
gamblers or punters place a bet before they even get to know the line-up of the
team. If the team’s manager decides to rest some key players and you place “Win”
or “Win or Draw” bet on them in advance, you may lose your bet.
Injuries: If
a team’s key players are injured or a team has a long list of injuries and you
place “Win” or “Win or Draw” bet on them, you may lose
your bet. A typical example was the match between Manchester City and Leeds Utd
which took place on Saturday 10th April 2021.
On that day, Man City’s Manager Pep Guardiola
rested some Key Players including Kevin De Bruyne, Mahrez, Foden, Gundogan etc
Interestingly, Leeds United scored at the 42nd minutes and continued to lead until Pep Guardiola later brought in Gundogan and Foden.
Match Fixing: Believe me or not, match fixing is real in football. Match fixing occurs in most of the leagues or tournaments we bet on them.
There are many instances where the
score line of a match and how the goals will even be scored comes out before
the match starts.
This match fixing in football can make
you lose your bet if you choose “Win” or “Win or Draw”
market.
Warning: Even though match fixing exists, make sure
you don’t get scammed by fraudsters who claim they have “Fixed Matches.”
A word to a wise is enough.
Fatigue: Most
of the big teams who are always favourite to win a football match lose their
matches against small teams or teams in relegation zone because of fatigue or
tiredness.
The big teams (favourite teams) always
play more matches including league matches, matches for domestic trophies and
international matches (Champions Leagues, Europa League, World Club Champions,
Supper Cup etc) than the small teams.
These numerous matches played by big
teams make them get tired and let them lose matches against small teams.
Change of Manager: When
a team changes a manager, it has a great impact on the team. It’s a fact that
the team will either perform better or poorer. If you place a bet on “Win
or Win or Draw Market and the team perform poorly, you will lose
your bet.
What about
betting on a single match?
Whether doing a single bet or an
accumulator, you still stand at the risk of losing your bet if you choose “Win”
or “Win or Draw” market because of the reasons or factors
explained above.
On 8th February
2021, for instance, I did a single bet and put my hard-earned money worth
$1,350.00 on Atletico Madrid to win when playing against Celta Vigo. Guess what
happened? I lost $1,350.00 on Atlético Madrid alone.
Atletico Madrid being on five
winning streaks, first on La Liga table with good form and willing to seize La-Liga
title from their big rivals, Barcelona and Real Madrid surprisingly couldn’t “Win”
their match at home against Celta Vigo.
On 29th April 2021, none of the football prediction websites I know predicted that Granada would beat Barcelona who wanted to be at the top of the La Liga table and win the league. With the big star, Lionel Messi, Barcelona was beaten by Granada at Camp Nou and the match ended 1:2
Barcelona 1: 2 Granada
What about
Goals?
The “goal market” is not also a sure way to win
a football bet.
Sometimes when you choose “Over”, the end
results become “Under.” In other words, when you choose “Both Teams
To Score,” you will only see one team scoring.
I supposed to win
a bet worth $6,000.00 with a stake of $150.00 on 20th September
2020.
I chose both teams to score
market for the match between Chelsea and Liverpool at Stamford Bridge. Luckily,
Chelsea got penalty but Jorginho couldn’t score so the match ended 2 Nil in
favour of Liverpool. There was no both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
Jorginho
Misses Penalty
So, there
was no both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
The match ended 2 Nil in favour of Liverpool.
On 21 March 2021, Benevento also beat Juventus 1 to nil at Juventus home ground where Ronaldo played a full-time with the rest of the key players. There was no over 1.5, over 2.5, win or even win or draw for the favourite team, Juventus.
Juventus
0:1 Benevento
l lost
$568.00 on Juventus and other Matches
Now, you know the
reasons why most football gamblers or punters lose their bet.
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